David Lee

Papers on the Web

Local Polynomial Order in Regression Discontinuity Designs, with Zhuan Pei, David Card, and Andrea Weber, Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #622.

The Deterrence Effect of Prison: Dynamic Theory and Evidence , with Justin McCrary, in Advances in Econometrics, Vol. 38. Previous versions: Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #550 and Crime, Punishment, and Myopia, NBER Working Paper #11491. • Emerald Literati Award for Outstanding Author Contribution in 2018.

Regression Kink Design: Theory and Practice, with David Card, Zhuan Pei, and Andrew Weber, in Advances in Econometrics, Vol. 38. Previous version: NBER Working Paper #22781.

Inference on Causal Effects in a Generalized Regression Kink Design, with David Card, Zhuan Pei, and Andrew Weber, in Econometrica, 83(6), 2453-2483. Previous versions: Nonlinear Policy Rules and the Identification and Estimation of Causal Effects in a Generalized Regression Kink Design, NBER Working Paper #18564. Previous version: Quasi-Experimental Identification and Estimation in the Regression Kink Design, Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #553.

Regression Discontinuity Designs in Social Sciences:, with Thomas Lemieux, in The SAGE Handbook of Regression Analysis and Causal Inference.

Optimal Minimum Wage Policy in Competitive Labor Markets, with Emmanuel Saez, in Journal of Public Economics, 96(2012) 739-749. Previous version: Optimal Minimum Wage Policy in Competitive Labor Markets, NBER Working Paper #14320.

Long-run Impacts of Unions on Firms: New Evidence from Financial Markets, 1961-1999, with Alexandre Mas, in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 127(1), 333-378. Online Appendix. Previous version: NBER Working Paper #14709.

Program Evaluation and Research Designs (From Science Direct), with John DiNardo, in Handbook of Labor Economics, Vol. 4A, Previous version: NBER Working Paper #16016.

Regression Discontinuity Designs in Economics, with Thomas Lemieux, in Journal of Economic Literature, 48(2) 281-355. Working paper version: Regression Discontinuity Designs in Economics NBER Working Paper #14723.

Training, Wages, and Sample Selection: Estimating Sharp Bounds on Treatment Effects, in Review of Economic Studies, 76(3) 1071-1102. Previous versions: February 2008 , NBER Working Paper #11721 , Trimming for Bounds on Treatment Effects with Missing Outcomes, NBER Technical Working Paper #277, Center for Labor Economics Working Paper #51 .

Bayesian Learning and the Pricing of New Information: Evidence from Prediction Markets, with Enrico Moretti, in AEA Papers and Proceedings , 99(2) 330-342.

Regression Discontinuity Inference with Specification Error, with David Card, in Journal of Econometrics, 142(2) 655-674. Working paper version: Regression Discontinuity Inference with Specification Error, NBER Technical Working Paper #322. Previous version: Center for Labor Economics Working Paper #74.

Randomized Experiments from Non-random Selection in U.S. House Elections, in Journal of Econometrics, 142(2) 675-697. Supplemental Mathematical Appendix Previous version: The Electoral Advantage to Incumbency and Voters' Valuation of Politicians' Experience: A Regression Discontinuity Analysis of Elections to the U.S. House, NBER Working Paper #8441. • Received Journal of Econometrics Aigner Award for 2007-2008.

The Costs of Low Birth Weight, with Douglas Almond and Kenneth Y. Chay, in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(3), 1031-1083. Working paper version: The Costs of Low Birth Weight, NBER Working Paper #10552.

Economic Impacts of New Unionization on Private Sector Employers: 1984-2001, with John DiNardo, in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119(4), 1383-1441. Working paper version: Economic Impacts of Unionization on Private Sector Employers: 1984-2001, NBER Working Paper #10598.

Do Voters Affect or Elect Policies? Evidence from the U.S. House, with Enrico Moretti and Matthew J. Butler, in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119(3), 807-859. Working paper version: Credibility and Policy Convergence: Evidence from U.S. Roll Call Voting Records, NBER Working Paper #9315.

Changes in Relative Wages in the 1980s: Returns to Observed and Unobserved Skills and Black-White Wage Differentials, with Kenneth Y. Chay, Journal of Econometrics, 99(1), 1-38.

Wage Inequality in the United States During the 1980s: Rising Dispersion or Falling Minimum Wage? in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114(3), 977-1023.