Ahti Salo

Professor of Systems Analysis at Aalto University School of Business

Schools

  • Aalto University School of Business

Expertise

Links

Biography

Aalto University School of Business

CURRICULUM VITAE

Education

  • Dec 1992 Doctor of Technology, Helsinki University of Technology (TKK) Major subject in systems and operations research, minor in mathematics
  • Mar 1990 Licentiate of Technology, TKK Major in systems and operations research, minor in mathematics
  • Oct 1987 Master of Sciences (Eng.), TKK Major in systems and operations research, minor in computer science

Positions since 1993

  • Jan 2010 – Aalto University Professor in Systems Analysis Vice-Head of Department, Aug 2011 –
  • Nov 2000 – Dec 2009 Helsinki University of Technology Professor in Systems Analysis Tenured 1.11.2005
  • Aug 1999 – Oct 2000 as above Professor in Applied Mathematics
  • Jan 1999 – Jul 1999 as above Researcher
  • Aug 1998 – Dec 1998 as above Professor in Applied Mathematics
  • Jan 1997 – Jul 1998 VTT Group for Technology Studies Senior Researcher
  • Oct 1994 – Jan 1997 Nokia Research Center Senior Consultant
  • Oct 1993 – Sep 1994 Universität Mannheim Alexander von Humboldt- Fellow
  • Sep 1993 – Sep 1994 TKK, Systems Analysis Laboratory Researcher
  • Jun 1993 – Aug 1993 London Business School Visiting Researcher

Research visits

  • July 2010 (one month) Ecole Centrale Paris Visiting Professor
  • Jan 2010 (3 weeks) University of Vienna Visiting Professor
  • Feb 2009 – Aug 2009 Université Paris-Dauphine Visiting Professor
  • Sep 2008 – Jan 2009 London Business School Visiting Professor

Appointments

  • Dec 1996 Docent, quantitative methods of economics, Helsinki School of Economics and Business Administration
  • Feb 1999 Docent, systems analysis, TKK

Scientific positions of trust

  • Member of the Management Committee of the COST Action IS1304 on Expert Judgment Network: Bridging The Gap Between Scientific Uncertainty And Evidence-Based Decision Making, 2013-2016.
  • President of the Finnish Operations Research Society (FORS), 1999-2000 and 2010-2011. Vice-President of FORS 2007-2009, member of the Board since 1999-.
  • Member of the Board of the Association of the Parliament Members and Researchers (Tutkijoiden ja kansanedustajien seura, Tutkas), 1999-.
  • European and Middle East regional representative in the International Activities Committee of INFORMS (The Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences), 2010-2011.
  • Member of the Management Committee of the French-Finnish Association for Scientific Research and Technology (Association Franco-Finlandaise pour la Recherche Scientifique et Technique, AFFRST), 2011-. Vice-member of the Management Committee, 2008-2010.
  • Member of the Management Committee of the COST Action IC0602 on Algorithmic Decision Theory, 2008-2011.
  • Member of the Finnish Academy of Technology, 2003-.
  • Chairman of the systems analysis section of the Scientific Advisory Board for Defence, 2013-. Vice-Chairman of the section in 2008-2012 and its member since 2002.
  • Member of the Steering Group of the Graduate School on Systems Analysis, Decision Making and Risk Management, 2001-2013.
  • Member of the Steering Group of Helsinki Institute of Science and Technology Studies (HIST), 2004-2009. Vice-President 2008-2009.
  • Member of the Advisory Board of VTT Technology Studies, 2002-2005.
  • Member of the High Level Expert Group on Technology Foresight, appointed by DG Research of the European Commission, 2000-2001.
  • Member of the Scientific Advisory Group of the Technological Scenarios Programme at the Systems Analysis Department, RISOE Research Institute, Roskilde, Denmark, 2001-2002.

Awards and prizes

  • INFORMS (The Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences) Decision Analysis Society’s 2005 Best Student Paper awarded for “Contingent Portfolio Programming for the Management of Risky Projects”, co-authored with Janne Gustafsson.
  • Finalist in the competition for INFORMS Decision Analysis Society’s 2007 Practice Award with a case study “Integrated Multi-Criteria Budgeting for Maintenance and Rehabilitation Policies at the Finnish Road Administration”, presented with Pekka Mild.

Editorial responsibilities

  • Editor-in-Chief of EURO Journal on Decision Processes, a journal established by the Association of European Operational Research Societies (EURO) in 2011 (first issue to appear in 2013).
  • Associate Editor of Decision Analysis (2007-2010), a journal established by the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society in 2004.
  • Member of the Editorial Boards of Decision Analysis (2011-), International Journal of Information Technology and Decision Making (2002-), International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy (2004-), Intelligent Decision Technologies (2007-), The Open Operational Research Journal (2007-), IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management (2010-).
  • Regular referee for a large range of international journals in decision analysis, decision support systems, foresight methodologies, innovation management (incl. Management Science, Operations Research, European Journal of Operational Research, Research Policy, Journal of the Operational Research Society, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Journal of Forecasting, International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, Decision Sciences, International Journal of Technology Management, Group Decision and Negotiation).

Scientific Conferences

  • Member of the Programme Committee of the 3rd International Conference on Operations Research and Enterprise Systems (ICORES 2014), March 2014, Angers, France.
  • Member of the Local Organizing Committee of the 11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference and the Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference (PSAM 2012 & ESREL 11), June 2012, Helsinki, Finland.
  • Member of the Programme Committee of Group Decision & Negotiation 2012 (GDN 2012), May 2012, Recife, Brazil.
  • Member of the International Committee of the 2012 International Conference on e-Commerce, e-Administration, e-Society, e-Education, and e-Technology, March 2012, Hong Kong, China.
  • Member of the Conference Committee of the 4th International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA), May 2011, Sevilla, Spain.
  • Member of the Programme Committee of Group Decision & Negotiation 2011 (GDN 2011), June 2011, Amman, Jordania.
  • Chairman of the Programme Committee of the Aalto Event on Science and Technology in Society, August 2011, Helsinki, Finland.
  • Member of the International Program Committee of the 2nd KES International Symposium on Intelligent Decision Technologies (IDT 2010), July 2010, Baltimore, USA.
  • Member of the International Scientific Programme Committee of the 2nd International Conference on Applied Operational Research (ICAOR 2010), August 2010, Turku, Finland.
  • Member of the Program Committee of Group Decision & Negotiation 2010 (GDN 2010), July 2010, Delft, the Netherlands.
  • Member of the Programme Committee of the 1st International Conference on Algorithmic Decision Theory (ADT 2009), October 2009, Venice, Italy.
  • Member of the Scientific Committee of the 4th European Conference on Technology Management (EuroMOT 2009), September 2009, Glasgow, UK.
  • Member of the International Program Committee of Intelligent Decision Technologies (IDT 2009), April 2009, Himeji, Japan.
  • Member of the International Committee of the 2010 International Conference on e-Commerce, e-Administration, e-Society, and e-Education (e-CASE 2010), January 2010, Macau.
  • Member of the International Committee of the 2009 International Conference on e-Commerce, e-Administration, e-Society, and e-Education (e-CASE 2009), January 2009, Singapore.
  • INFORMS Decision Analysis Society sub-stream co-organizer in collaboration with Prof. Don N. Kleinmuntz at the 18th Triennial Conference of the International Federation of Operational Research Societies (IFORS), July 2008, Johannesburg, South Africa.
  • Vice-President of the Organization Committee of the 67th meeting of the European Working Group Multiple Criteria Decision Aiding, April 2008, Rovaniemi, Finland.
  • Invited opening plenary speaker at the 15th Mini-EURO Conference Managing Uncertainty in Decision Support Modelling, September 2004, Coimbra, Portuga.
  • Member of the Scientific Committee and Technological Futures Analysis Methods Working Group for the EU-US Scientific Seminar on New Technology Foresight, Forecasting & Assessment Methods, May 2004, Seville, Spain.

Evaluation of Candidates for Awards and Academic Positions

  • Member of the jury of the EURO Doctoral Dissertation Award (EDDA) of the Association of European Operational Research Societies (EURO), 2010, 2012 and 2013.
  • Evaluator of Dr. Aron Larsson for appointment as Docent in data and systems sciences, Stockholm University 2012.
  • Evaluator of candidates for appointment as Professor in futures studies, University of Turku, 2012.
  • Evaluator of candidates for appointment as Senior Lecturer in computer and systems sciences, with specialization in systems analysis, Stockholm University, 2011.
  • Evaluator of candidates for appointment as Professor in technology foresight and innovation, the Technical University of Denmark (DTU), 2011.
  • Evaluator of candidates for appointment as Professor in military technology, National Defence University, Finland, 2011.
  • Evaluator of candidates for appointment as Senior Lecturer in computer and systems sciences, with specialization in systems analysis, especially mathematical and statistical modelling within the energy sector, Stockholm University, 2011.
  • Evaluator of Dr. Aron Larsson for appointment as Associate Senior Lecturer in computer and systems sciences, with a specialization in computer-aided decision support in society, Stockholm University 2010.
  • Evaluator of the achievements of Dr. Afzal Siddiqui for promotion to Senior Lecturer at the University College of London (UCL), 2010.
  • Evaluator of candidates for appointment as Senior Lecturer in computer and systems sciences, with specialization in systems analysis, Stockholm University, 2010.
  • Evaluator of candidates for appointment as Professor in business mathematics, Vaasa University, 2008.
  • Evaluator of candidates for appointment as Senior Lecturer in computer and systems science with specialization in system analysis, Stockholm University, 2008.
  • Evaluator of candidates for appointment as Assistant Senior Lecturer in systems analysis at Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, 2007.
  • Evaluator of the qualifications of PhD Henrik Bruun for acting as Professor in environmental protection technology in 2006 (TKK, ’05).
  • Evaluator of the qualifications of PhD Richard Langlais for acting as Professor in environmental protection in 2006 (TKK, ’06).

Examination of Doctoral Theses

  • External rapporteur in the examination of the Doctoral Dissertation of Olivier Cailloux (Ecole Centrale Paris, France, ‘12).
  • External rapporteur in the examination of the Doctoral Dissertation of Jun Zheng (Ecole Centrale Paris, France, ‘12).
  • External examiner of the Doctor of Business Administration (DBA) Thesis of Alex Koh (Manchester Business School, University of Manchester, United Kingdom, ’11).
  • Examiner of the Doctoral Dissertation of Mart Landsberg (Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia, ’08).
  • Official Opponent in the defence of the Doctoral Dissertation of Jim Idefeldt (Mittuniversitet, ’07) and Xiaosong Ding (Mittuniversitet, Sweden, ’05).
  • Preliminary examiner in the Doctoral Dissertation of Kaj-Mikael Björk (Åbo Akademi University, Finland, ’06).
  • Preliminary examiner (’05) and official opponent (’06) in the Doctoral Dissertation of Raimo Voutilainen (Helsinki School of Economics, Finland).
  • Official opponent in the defence of the Licentiate Thesis of Jim Johansson (Mitthögskolan, Sweden, ’04).

Other Scientific Duties

  • Member of the Evaluation Panel of the Laboratoire d'Analyse et Modélisation de Systèmes pour l'Aide à la Decision (LAMSADE), a joint laboratory of Université Paris Dauphine and the Centre national de la recherche scientifique (CNRS), 2012.
  • Member of the Evaluation Panel of the Finnish Metals and Engineering Competence Cluster (FIMECC), 2012.
  • Member of the International Advisory Board of the Helmholtz-Programme on Technology, Innovation, and Society (TIS), 2010-14.
  • Member of the Management Committee of the EU COST IC0601 Action on Algorithmic Decision Theory, 2008-11.
  • Member of the International Evaluation Panel of the Helmholtz-Programme on Technology, Society and Innovation, 2009.
  • Project manager of FinnSight 2015, the joint national foresight exercise of the Academy of Finland and the Finnish Funding Agency for Technology and Innovation (Tekes), 2005-06.
  • Chairman of the International Evaluation Panel of the German technology foresight exercise Futur, 2004-05.
  • Invited presenter on foresight methodologies at the brainstorming workshop Shaping the European dimension of foresight, organized by DG Research, March 2005.
  • Participant in the EU COST A22 Action on European Network for Foresight Methodologies, 2004-.
  • Guest Editor (in collaboration with Dr. Kerstin Cuhls) of a special issue on technology foresight for Journal of Forecasting, 2003.
  • Reviewer of technology assessment and foresight projects in the EU-funded STRATA-research programme on Strategic Analysis of Specific Science and Technology Policy Issues, 2002.
  • Reviewer of results from the European Science and Technology Observatory project on the monitoring of technological forecasting, technology assessment, technology foresight activities in the European Union, 2001.

Research training

  • Instructor and supervisor of fourteen Doctoral Theses (Jukka-Pekka Salmenkaita ‘04, Janne Gustafsson ‘05, Simo Makkonen ‘05, Totti Könnölä ‘06, Kari Alanne ‘07, Toni Jarimo ’08; Juuso Liesiö ’08, Janne Kettunen ’09, Ville Brummer ’10, Kimmo Soramäki ’12, Antti Punkka ‘13, Tommi Ekholm '13, Anssi Käki '14, Eeva Vilkkumaa '14) and ten Licentiate Theses. Supervisor of more than 126 Master’s Theses since 2000.
  • Director of a research group with five full-time doctoral students at Aalto University. Supervisor of five doctoral students employed at at other organizations.
  • Invited lecturer at the International MCDM Summer School, Taiwan, July 2006 and Paris, June 2010.
  • Lecturer of graduate level courses on decision analysis and problem solving (~50 students per year), risk analysis (~100), investment science (~60) and seminar on case studies in operations research (~16-35) which all qualify for doctoral studies.

Peer-reviewed scientific articles

Journal article-refereed, Original research

Portfolio optimization of safety measures for reducing risks in nuclear systems

Mancuso, Alessandro; Compare, Michele; Salo, Ahti; Zio, Enrico
2017 in RELIABILITY ENGINEERING AND SYSTEM SAFETY (Elsevier Limited)
ISSN: 0951-8320

Does renewable energy generation decrease the volatility of electricity prices? An analysis of Denmark and Germany

Rintamäki, Tuomas; Siddiqui, Afzal S.; Salo, Ahti
2017 in Energy economics (ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV)
ISSN: 0140-9883

Modeling project preferences in multiattribute portfolio decision analysis

Tervonen, Tommi; Liesiö, Juuso; Salo, Ahti
2017 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)
ISSN: 0377-2217

Binary decision diagrams for generating and storing non-dominated project portfolios with interval-valued project scores

Toppila, Antti; Salo, Ahti
2017 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)
ISSN: 0377-2217

Selection of risk reduction portfolios under interval-valued probabilities

Toppila, Antti; Salo, Ahti
2017 in RELIABILITY ENGINEERING AND SYSTEM SAFETY (Elsevier Limited)
ISSN: 0951-8320

Scenario-based portfolio model for building robust and proactive strategies

Vilkkumaa, Eeva; Liesiö, Juuso; Salo, Ahti; Ilmola-Sheppard, Leena
2017 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)
ISSN: 0377-2217

Frontier projection and efficiency decomposition in two-stage processes with slacks-based measures

Chen, Ya; Li, Yongjun; Liang, Liang; Salo, Ahti; Wu, Huaqing
2016 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)
ISSN: 0377-2217

Risk-based optimization of pipe inspections in large underground networks with imprecise information

Mancuso, A.; Compare, M.; Salo, A.; Zio, E.; Laakso, T.
2016 in RELIABILITY ENGINEERING AND SYSTEM SAFETY (Elsevier Limited)
ISSN: 0951-8320

How much is enough? Optimal support payments in a renewable-rich power system

Rintamäki, Tuomas; Siddiqui, Afzal S.; Salo, Ahti
2016 in ENERGY (PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD)
ISSN: 0360-5442

Developing robust composite measures of healthcare quality - Ranking intervals and dominance relations for Scottish Health Boards

Schang, Laura; Hynninen, Yrjänä; Morton, Alec; Salo, Ahti
2016 in SOCIAL SCIENCE AND MEDICINE (Elsevier Limited)
ISSN: 0277-9536

Market impacts of energy storage in a transmission-constrained power system

Virasjoki, Vilma; Rocha, Paula; Siddiqui, Afzal S.; Salo, Ahti
2016 in IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS (IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC)
ISSN: 0885-8950

Newsvendor decisions under supply uncertainty

Käki, Anssi; Liesiö, Juuso; Salo, Ahti; Talluri, Srinivas
2015 in International Journal of Production Research (Taylor and Francis Ltd.)
ISSN: 0020-7543

Disruptions in Supply Networks: A Probabilistic Risk Assessment Approach

Käki, Anssi; Salo, Ahti; Talluri, Srinivas
2015 in JOURNAL OF BUSINESS LOGISTICS (John Wiley & Sons Inc.)
ISSN: 0735-3766

Selecting infrastructure maintenance projects with Robust Portfolio Modeling

Mild, Pekka; Liesiö, Juuso; Salo, Ahti
2015 in DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS (Elsevier)
ISSN: 0167-9236

Adversarial Risk Analysis for Enhancing Combat Simulation Models Journal of Military Studies

Roponen, Juho; Salo, Ahti
2015 in JOURNAL OF MILITARY STUDIES (Elsevier)
ISSN: 2242-3524

Fostering breakthrough technologies - How do optimal funding decisions depend on evaluation accuracy?

Vilkkumaa, Eeva; Salo, Ahti; Liesiö, Juuso; Siddiqui, Afzal
2015 in TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE (ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC)
ISSN: 0040-1625

Expert Judgments in the Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Resource Allocations: A Case Study in Military Planning

Kangaspunta, Jussi; Salo, Ahti
2014 in OR SPECTRUM (Springer Verlag)
ISSN: 0171-6468

Scenario-Based Modeling of Interdependent Demand and Supply Uncertainties

Käki, Anssi; Salo, Ahti; Talluri, Srinivas
2014 in IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.)
ISSN: 0018-9391

Scale Dependence and Ranking Intervals in Additive Value Models under Incomplete Preference Information

Punkka, Antti; Salo, Ahti
2014 in DECISION ANALYSIS (INFORMS)
ISSN: 1545-8490

Optimal Strategies for Selecting Project Portfolios Using Uncertain Value Estimates

Vilkkumaa, Eeva; Liesiö, Juuso; Salo, Ahti
2014 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)
ISSN: 0377-2217

Multicriteria Portfolio Modeling for the Development of Shared Action Agendas

Vilkkumaa, Eeva; Salo, Ahti; Liesiö, Juuso
2014 in GROUP DECISION AND NEGOTIATION (Springer Netherlands)
ISSN: 0926-2644

Project management and scheduling

Demeulemeester, Erik; Kolisch, Rainer; Salo, Ahti
2013 in FLEXIBLE SERVICES AND MANUFACTURING JOURNAL (Springer New York)
ISSN: 1936-6582

Impact of the Shape of Demand Distribution in Decision Models for Operations Management

Käki, Anssi; Salo, Ahti; Talluri, Srinivas
2013 in COMPUTERS IN INDUSTRY (Elsevier)
ISSN: 0166-3615

Preference Programming with incomplete ordinal information

Punkka, Antti; Salo, Ahti
2013 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)
ISSN: 0377-2217

A computational framework for prioritization of events in fault tree analysis under interval-valued probabilities

Toppila, Antti; Salo, Ahti
2013 in IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON RELIABILITY (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.)
ISSN: 0018-9529

Markets for standardized technologies: Patent licensing with Principle of Proportionality

Hytönen, Henri; Jarimo, Toni; Salo, Ahti; Yli-Juuti, Erkki
2012 in TECHNOVATION (Elsevier Limited)
ISSN: 0166-4972

Cost-Efficiency Analysis of Weapon System Portfolios

Kangaspunta, Jussi; Liesiö, Juuso; Salo, Ahti
2012 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)
ISSN: 0377-2217

Facing the Future: Scanning, Synthesizing and Sense-Making in Horizon Scanning

Könnölä, Totti; Salo, Ahti; Cagnin, Cristiano; Carabias, Vicente; Vilkkumaa, Eeva
2012 in SCIENCE AND PUBLIC POLICY (Beech Tree Publishing)
ISSN: 0302-3427

Scenario-Based Portfolio Selection of Investment Projects with Incomplete Probability and Utility Information

Liesiö, Juuso; Salo, Ahti
2012 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)
ISSN: 0377-2217

A Seminar for Solving Client Problems in Project Teams

Salo, Ahti
2012 in INFORMS TRANSACTIONS ON EDUCATION (Elsevier Science B.V.)

A Methodology for the Identification of Prospective Collaboration Networks in International R&D Programs

Brummer, Ville; Salo, Ahti; Nissinen, Juuso; Liesiö, Juuso
2011 in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT (Inderscience Enterprises Ltd)
ISSN: 0267-5730

Foresight for European Coordination: Developing National Priorities for the Forest-Based Sector Technology Platform

Könnölä, Totti; Salo, Ahti; Brummer, Ville
2011 in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT (Inderscience Enterprises Ltd)
ISSN: 0267-5730

Ranking Intervals and Dominance Relations for Ratio-Based Efficiency Analysis

Salo, Ahti; Punkka, Antti
2011 in MANAGEMENT SCIENCE (INST OPERATIONS RESEARCH MANAGEMENT SCIENCES)
ISSN: 0025-1909

From the editors

Keller, L. Robin; Abbas, Ali; Baucells, Manel; Bier, Vicki M.; Budescu, David; Butler, John C.; Delquie, Philippe; Merrick, Jason R. W.; Salo, Ahti; Wu, George
2010 in DECISION ANALYSIS (INFORMS)
ISSN: 1545-8490

Optimization of Electricity Retailer's Contract Portfolio Subject to Risk Preferences

Kettunen, Janne; Salo, Ahti; Bunn, Derek W.
2010 in IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS (IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC)
ISSN: 0885-8950

Multicriteria partner selection in virtual organizations with transportation costs and other network interdependencies

Jarimo, Toni; Salo, Ahti
2009 in IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics- Part C: Applications and Review (IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC)

Multi-Criteria Partner Selection in Virtual Organisations with Transportation Costs and Other Network Interdependencies

Jarimo, Toni; Salo, Ahti
2009 in IEEE Transactions in Systems, Man, and Cybernetics - Part C: Applications and Reviews (IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC)

From the editors

Keller, L. Robin; Baucells, Manel; Butler, John C.; Delquie, Philippe; Merrick, Jason R. W.; Parnell, Gregory S.; Salo, Ahti
2009 in DECISION ANALYSIS (INFORMS)
ISSN: 1545-8490

Combining a multiattribute value function with an optimization model: an application to dynamic resource allocation for infrastructure maintenance

Mild, Pekka; Salo, Ahti
2009 in DECISION ANALYSIS (INFORMS)

Axes of balance in foresight - reflections from FinnSight 2015

Salo, Ahti; Brummer, Ville; Könnölä, Totti
2009 in Technology Analysis and Strategic Management (ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD)
ISSN: 0953-7325

Foresight within ERA-NETs: Experiences from the preparation of an international research program

Brummer, Ville; Könnölä, Totti; Salo, Ahti
2008 in TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE (ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC)

Robust portfolio modeling with incomplete cost information and project interdependencies

Liesio, Juuso; Mild, Pekka; Salo, Ahti
2008 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)
ISSN: 0377-2217

Participatory development of a strategic product portfolio in a telecommunication company

Lindstedt, M.; Liesiö, Juuso; Salo, Ahti
2008 in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT (Inderscience Enterprises Ltd)
ISSN: 0267-5730

Comparative Analysis of the Life-Cycle Costs of Residential Energy Supply Technologies

Alanne, Kari; Saari, Arto; Salo, Ahti
2007 in NORDIC JOURNAL OF SURVEYING AND REAL ESTATE RESEARCH (Inderscience Enterprises Ltd)

Multi-criteria evaluation of residential energy supply systems

Alanne, Kari; Salo, Ahti; Saari, Arto; Gustafsson, Stig-Inge
2007 in Energy and Buildings (Elsevier Science)
ISSN: 0378-7788

Diversity in Foresight: Insights from the Fostering of Innovation Ideas

Könnölä, Totti; Brummer, Ville; Salo, Ahti
2007 in TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE (ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC)

Preference Programming for Robust Portfolio Modeling and Project Selection

Liesiö, Juuso; Mild, Pekka; Salo, Ahti
2007 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)

Exploring Causal Relationships in an Innovation Program with Robust Portfolio Modeling

Salo, Ahti; Mild, Pekka; Pentikäinen, T.
2006 in TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE (ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC)

A Case Study in Participatory Priority-Setting for a Scandinavian Research Program

Salo, Ahti; Liesiö, Juuso
2006 in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND DECISION MAKING (World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte Ltd)
ISSN: 0219-6220

Contingent portfolio programming for the management of risky projects

Gustafsson, Janne; Salo, Ahti
2005 in OPERATIONS RESEARCH (INFORMS Inst.for Operations Res.and the Management Sciences)

Encouraging suppliers to process innovation: a game theory approach

Jarimo, Toni; Pulkkinen, Urho; Salo, Ahti
2005 in International Journal of Technological Intelligence and Planning (INFORMS Inst.for Operations Res.and the Management Sciences)

Decision support by interval SMART/SWING - incorporating imprecision in the SMART and SWING methods

Mustajoki, Jyri; Hämäläinen, Raimo P.; Salo, Ahti
2005 in Decision Sciences (Wiley-Blackwell)

A multi-criteria framework for the selection of risk analysis methods at energy utilities

Ojanen, Otso; Makkonen, Simo; Salo, Ahti
2005 in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF RISK ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT (Inderscience Enterprises Ltd)

Groupware support for requirements management in new product development

Salo, Ahti; Käkölä, Timo K.
2005 in Journal of Organizational Computing and Electronic Commerce (Taylor and Francis Ltd.)

Rank inclusion in criteria hierarchies

Salo, Ahti; Punkka, Antti
2005 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)

Technology futures analysis: towards integration of the field & new methods

Porter, A.L.; Ashton, B.; Clar, G.; Coates, J.F.; Cuhls, K.; Cunningham, S.W.; Ducatel, K.; van der Duin, P.; Georghiou, L.; Gordon, T.; Linstone, H.; Marchau, V.; Massari, G.; Miles, I.; Mogee, M.; Salo, Ahti; Scapolo, F.; Smits, R.; Thiessen, W.
2004 in TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE (ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC)

Emergent Foresight Processes: Industrial Activities in Wireless Communications

Salmenkaita, Jukka-Pekka; Salo, Ahti
2004 in TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE (ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC)

Responsiveness in Foresight Management: Reflections from the Finnish Food and Drink Industry

Salo, Ahti; Könnölä, Totti; Hjelt, Mari
2004 in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORESIGHT AND INNOVATION POLICY (Inderscience Publishers)

A group support system for foresight processes

Salo, Ahti; Gustafsson, Tommi
2004 in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORESIGHT AND INNOVATION POLICY (Inderscience Publishers)

Prospective Evaluation of a Cluster Programme for Finnish Forestry and Forest Industries

Salo, Ahti; Gustafsson, Tommi; Mild, Pekka
2004 in International Transactions in Operational Research (Blackwell Publishing)

Technology foresight - Past and future

Salo, Ahti; Cuhls, Kerstin
2003 in JOURNAL OF FORECASTING (John Wiley and Sons Ltd)
ISSN: 0277-6693

Multicriteria Methods for Technology Foresight

Salo, Ahti; Gustafsson, Tommi; Ramanatham, Ramakrishnan
2003 in JOURNAL OF FORECASTING (John Wiley and Sons Ltd)

Rationales for Government Intervention in the Commercialization of New Technologies

Salmenkaita, Jukka-Pekka; Salo, Ahti
2002 in Technology Analysis and Strategic Management (ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD)
ISSN: 0953-7325

Embedded Foresight in RTD Programs

Salo, Ahti; Salmenkaita, Jukka-Pekka
2002 in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TECHNOLOGY, POLICY AND MANAGEMENT (Inderscience Enterprises Ltd)

Preference Ratios in Multiattribute Evaluation (PRIME) - Elicitation and Decision Procedures uder Incomplete Information

Salo, Ahti; Hämäläinen, Raimo P.
2001 in IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, Part A: Systems and Humans (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.)
ISSN: 1083-4427

Preference Rations in Multiattribute Evaluation (PRIME) - Eliciting and Decision Procedures under Incomplete Information

Salo, Ahti; Hämäläinen, Raimo P.
2001 in IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.)

Incentives in technology foresight

Salo, Ahti
2001 in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT (Inderscience Enterprises Ltd)
ISSN: 0267-5730

Rejoinder: The issue is understanding the weights

Hämäläinen, R.P.; Salo, A.A.
1997 in JOURNAL OF MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION ANALYSIS (John Wiley and Sons Ltd)

An experiment on the numerical modeling of verbal ratio statements

Pöyhönen, M.; Hämäläinen, R.P.; Salo, A.A.
1997 in JOURNAL OF MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION ANALYSIS (John Wiley and Sons Ltd)

On the measurement of preferences in the analytic hierarchy process

Salo, A.A.; Hämäläinen, R.P.
1997 in JOURNAL OF MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION ANALYSIS (John Wiley and Sons Ltd)

Adjustment of forecasts with model consistent expectations

Bunn, Derek W.; Salo, Ahti A.
1996 in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING (Elsevier)
ISSN: 0169-2070

Tighter estimates for the posteriors of imprecise prior and conditional probabilities

Salo, Ahti A.
1996 in IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, Part A: Systems and Humans (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.)
ISSN: 1083-4427

On fuzzy ratio comparisons in hierarchical decision models

Salo, Ahti A.
1996 in FUZZY SETS AND SYSTEMS (Elsevier Science B.V.)
ISSN: 0165-0114

Preference programming through approximate ratio comparisons

Salo, A.A.; Hämäläinen, R.P.
1995 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)
ISSN: 0377-2217

Ambiguity aversion in first-price sealed-bid auctions

Salo, Ahti; Weber, Martin
1995 in JOURNAL OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY (Springer Netherlands)
ISSN: 0895-5646

Interactive decision aiding for group decision support

Salo, A.
1995 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)
ISSN: 0377-2217

Decomposition in the assessment of judgmental probability forecasts

Salo, Ahti A.; Bunn, Derek W.
1995 in TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE (ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC)
ISSN: 0040-1625

Inconsintency Analysis by Approximately Specified Priorities

Salo, A.A.
1993 in MATHEMATICAL AND COMPUTER MODELLING (Elsevier Limited)
ISSN: 0895-7177

Preference assessment by imprecise ratio statements

Salo, A.; Hämäläinen, R.P.
1992 in OPERATIONS RESEARCH (INFORMS Inst.for Operations Res.and the Management Sciences)
ISSN: 0030-364X

DECISION SUPPORT IN ARTIFICIAL-INTELLIGENCE ENVIRONMENT

Salo, A.; Hämäläinen, Raimo
1991 in LECTURE NOTES IN ECONOMICS AND MATHEMATICAL SYSTEMS (Springer-Verlag)
ISSN: 0075-8442

Seteli The Strategy Expert for Telecommunication Investments

Salo, Ahti; Hämäläinen, Raimo P.
1990 in IEEE Expert (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.)
ISSN: 0885-9000

Review article, Literature review, Systematic review

Probability scoring rules, ambiguity, multiattribute terrorist utility, and sensitivity analysis

Robin Keller, L.; Abbas, Ali; Eric Bickel, J.; Bier, Vicki M.; Budescu, David V.; Butler, John C.; Delquié, Philippe; Lichtendahl, Kenneth C.; Merrick, Jason R W; Salo, Ahti; Wu, George
2011 in DECISION ANALYSIS (INFORMS)
ISSN: 1545-8490

Forecasting with scenarios

Bunn, D.W.; Salo, A.A.
1993 in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH (Elsevier Science B.V.)
ISSN: 0377-2217

Book section, Chapters in research books

Valuation of Risky Projects and Illiquid Investments Using Portfolio Selection Models

Gustafsson, Janne; De Reyck, Bert; Degraeve, Zeger; Salo, Ahti
2011 in International Series in Operations Research and Management Science (Springer New York)
ISBN: 978-1-4419-9942-9
ISSN: 0884-8289

An Invitation to Portfolio Decision Analysis

Salo, Ahti; Keisler, Jeffrey; Morton, Alec
2011 in International Series in Operations Research & Management Science (Springer New York)
ISBN: 978-1-4419-9942-9
ISSN: 0884-8289

A Resource Allocation Model for R&D Investments - A Case Study in Telecommunication Standardization

Toppila, Antti; Liesiö, Juuso; Salo, Ahti
2011 in International Series in Operations Research & Management Science (Springer New York)
ISBN: 978-1-4419-9942-9
ISSN: 0884-8289

Preference Programming - Multicriteria Weighting Models under Incomplete Information

Salo, Ahti; Hämäläinen, Raimo P.
2010 in Applied Optimization (Springer Berlin Heidelberg)
ISBN: 978-3-540-92827-0
ISSN: 1384-6485

Multicriteria Decision Analysis in Group Decision Processes

Salo, Ahti; Hämäläinen, Raimo P.
2010

PRIME Decisions - An interactive Tool for Value Tree Analysis

Gustafsson, Janne; Salo, Ahti; Gustafsson, Tommi
2001 in Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems (Springer Berlin Heidelberg)
ISBN: 978-3-540-42377-5
ISSN: 0075-8442

Teknologian arviointi ja ennakointi

Salo, A.
2000

Processing interval judgments in the analytic hierarchy process

Salo, A.; Hämäläinen, R.P.
1992

Conference proceedings

Bayesian approach for safety barrier portfolio optimization

Mancuso, Alessandro; Compare, Michele; Salo, Ahti; Zio, Enrico
2016
ISBN: 9781138029972

Identification of the most critical pipes in the presence of imprecise information

Laakso, Tuija; Compare, Michele; Mancuso, Alessandro; Salo, Ahti; Zio, Enrico
2015
ISBN: 978-1-138-02879-1

Evaluating Procurement Strategies under Uncertain Demand and Risk of Component Unavailability

Käki, Anssi; Salo, Ahti
2011 in Operations Research Proceedings: GOR (Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V.) (Springer Berlin Heidelberg)
ISBN: 978-3-642-20008-3
ISSN: 0721-5924

Impacts of the Shape of the Demand Distribution on Procurement Risk Mitigation

Käki, Anssi; Salo, Ahti
2011

Facing the Future: Scanning, Synthesizing and Sense-Making in Horizon Scanning

Könnölä, Totti; Salo, Ahti; Cagnin, Cristiano; Carabias, Vicente; Vilkkumaa, Eeva
2011

Balancing incentives in thematic priority-setting for collaborative innovation networks

Brummer, Ville; Salo, Ahti; Ollila, Matti
2009

Management of new product development: The impact of competition and market characteristics

Kettunen, Janne; Grushka-Cockayne, Y.; De Reyck, Z.; Degraeve, Z.; Salo, Ahti
2008

Multi-criteria tools for asset management at the Finnish road administration

Mild, Pekka; Salo, Ahti
2008

A foresight exercise for the shaping of national strategies

Salo, Ahti; Brummer, Ville; Könnölä, Totti
2008

FinnSight 2015 - A Foresight Exercise for the Shaping of National Strategies

Salo, Ahti; Brummer, Ville; Könnölä, Totti
2008

Robust portfolio modelling

Salo, Ahti
2008

Adopting Diverse Perspectives in the Fostering of Innovation Ideas

Könnölä, Totti; Brummer, Ville; Salo, Ahti
2005

An evaluation model for the end-user utility of office applications

Renijsh Kumar, K.R.; Hirvonen, I.; Leppänen, I.; Kuronen, T.; Nurminen, J.K.; Salo, Ahti
2005

Participatory development of future-oriented policy configurations for climate change and mobile gaming

Salo, Ahti; Gustafsson, Robin; Kaakkolammi, Ilkka; Gustafsson, Tommi
2005

Designing Group Support for Foresight Processes

Gustafsson, T.; Salo, A.
2001

Scenario-Based Appraisal of R&D Projects with Contingent Portfolio Programming

Gustafsson, J.; Salo, A.
2001

Requirements for groupware-supported requirements processes in new product development

Salo, A.; Käkölä, T.
1998

Observations about consensus seeking in a multiple criteria environment

Hämäläinen, R.P.; Salo, A.A.; Pöysti, K.
1992

A modelling and decision aid for supporting telecommunications investments

Salo, Ahti; Hämäläinen, Raimo
1989

Publications intended for professional communities

Article in professional journal

Ennakoinnista ja sen kehittämisestä

Salo, Ahti
2005 in Valtioneuvoston ennakointiverkosto ja ennakointi ministeriössä (IEEE)

Innovaatioaihioiden portfolioanalyysi KTM:n ennakointifoorumissa

Salo, Ahti; Brummer, Ville
2005 in FUTURA (IEEE)

Published development or research report

Supporting road asset managementwith portfolio decision analysis

Mild, Pekka; Salo, Ahti
2006

Project valuation in mixed asset portfolio selection

Gustafsson, Janne; De Reyck, B.; Degraeve, Z.; Salo, Ahti
2005

Valuing Risky Projects with Contingent Portfolio Programming

Gustafsson, Janne; Salo, Ahti
2005

Project Valuation under Ambiguity

Gustafsson, Janne; Salo, Ahti
2005

RPM - Robust Portfolio Modeling for Project Selection

Mild, Pekka; Liesiö, Juuso; Salo, Ahti
2005

Incomplete Ordinal Information in Value Tree Analysis

Punkka, Antti; Salo, Ahti
2005

Selecting Forest Sites for Voluntary Conservation with Robust Portfolio Modeling

Punkka, Antti; Liesiö, Juuso; Salo, Ahti
2005

Robust Portfolio Modeling for Scenarios-Based Project Appraisal

Salo, Ahti; Liesiö, Juuso; Mild, Pekka
2005

Multi-criteria capital budgeting with incomplete preference information

Mild, Pekka; Liesiö, Juuso; Salo, Ahti
2004

Future scenarios in research and development programmes

Salo, Ahti
2004

Robust portfolio selection in multiattribute capital budgeting

Mild, Pekka; Salo, Ahti
2003

Results from the Self-Evaluation Process, Finnish Forest Cluster Research Programme Wood Wisdom (1998-2001)

Salo, Ahti; Utunen, P.; Lievonen, J.; Gustafsson, T.; Mild, P.
2002

Decision analysis of countermeasures for the milk pathway after an accidental release of radionuclides

Ammann, M.; Sinkko, K.; Kostiainen, E.; Salo, A.; Liskola, K.; Hämäläinen, R.P.; Mustajoki, J.
2001

Decision analysis interviews on protective actions in Finland supported by the RODOS system

Hämäläinen, Raimo P.; Sinkko, K.; Lindstedt, M.; Amman, M.; Salo, A.
2000

R&D Programmes in Electronics and Telecommunication ETX, TLX, INWITE and Telectronics

Salo, A.; Pahlavan, K.; Salmenkaita, J.-P.
2000

On science and Precaution in the Management of Technological Risk - An ESTO Project Report - Prepared for the European Commission - JRC Institute Prospective Technological Studies Seville

Renn, O.; Klinke, A.; Rip, A.; Salo, A.; Stirling, A.
1999

RODOS and decision conferencing on early phase protective actions in Finland

Hämäläinen, R.P.; Sinkko, K.; Lindstedt, M.; Ammann, M.; Salo, A.
1998

Kasvigeenitekniikka ravinnontuotannossa

Salo, A.; Kauppinen, V.; Rask, M.
1998

Elintarviketeollisuuden teknologiset menestystekijät

Salo, Ahti; Kauppila, J.; Salminiitty, J.
1998

Nordic Decision Conference: An Exercise on Clean-up Actions in an Urban Environment after a Nuclear Accident Arlandia Hotel, Sweden 30th-31th August, 1995

French, S.; Finck, R.; Hämäläinen, R.P.; Naadland, E.; Roed, J.; Salo, A.; Sinkko, K.
1996

An experiment on the numerical modeling of verbal ratio statements

Pöyhönen, M.A.; Hämäläinen, R.P.; Salo, A.A.
1994

On the measurement of preferences in the analytic hierarchy process

Salo, A.A.; Hämäläinen, R.P.
1993

PRIME - Preference ratios in multiattribute evaluation

Salo, A.; Hämäläinen, R.P.
1992

Approximate ratio statements in hierarchical weighting models

Salo, A.A.
1992

Rank reversals in the feedback technique of the analytic hierarchy process

Salo, A.A.; Hämäläinen, R.P.
1992

Holistic comparison in hierarchical weighting

Salo, A.A.
1992

Groupware-assisted requirements assessment

Salo, Ahti
1997 in Proceedings of the Third IEEE International Symposium on Requirements Engineering (IEEE)

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