Duk Bin Jun

Education

• University of California, Berkeley, Ph. D., 1985
• SNU(Seoul National University) Department of Industrial Engineering, Bachelor 1981

Career

• General Chair, The 33rd International Symposium on Forecasting held in Korea (2013) Associate Editor, Journal of Forecasting (2008 – present)
• Vice President, The Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society (2008 – present)
• Editor, Journal of Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society (2006-2008)
• Department Chair, KAIST Management Engineering (2004-05)
• Researcher, Institute of Transportation Studies (ITS), UC Berkeley (1990-91)
• Professor, KAIST Business School (1989-Present)
• Professor, Industrial Engineering, KyungHee University (1985-89)

Publications & Research

Publications

• "Distribution Based Level Change Detection in a Random Level Forecasting Model" with D. K. Park, International Journal of Forecasting, under revision.
• "Review of "Comprehensive Disaggregation Framework with Information Loss Function"" with J. H. Moon, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, under revision.
• "Modeling Patronage Shift to a New Entrant for Predicting Disproportionate Losses for Incumbent Outlets" with J. Kim, M. H. Park, and K. C. Cha, International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 28, pp. 660-674, 2012.
• "Parameter Space Restrictions in State-Space Models" with D. S. Kim, S. Park, and M. H. Park, Journal of Forecasting, vol. 31, pp. 109-123, 2012.
• "A Choice-Based Multi-Product Diffusion Model Incorporating Replacement Demand" with J. I. Kim, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, vol. 78, pp. 674-689, 2011.
• "A Simultaneous Test of Unit Root and Level Change" with D. K. Park, Journal of Forecasting, vol. 29, pp. 301-312, 2010.
• "Managing and Modeling the Price Reduction Effect in Mobile Telecommunications Traffic" with K. C. Cha, A.R. Wilson, and Y. S. Park, Telecommunications Policy, vol. 32, pp. 468-479, 2008.
• "Bridging Telecommunications Service: Its Concept and Related Management Strategy" with J. H. Ahn, K. C. Cha, and M. H. Park, Telecommunications Policy, vol. 28, pp. 733-750, 2004.
• "Forecasting Telecommunication Service Subscribers in Substitutive and Competitive Environments" with S. K. Kim, Y. S. Park, M. H. Park, and A. R. Wilson, International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 18, pp. 561-581, 2002.
• "Forecasting Demand for Low Earth Orbit Mobile Satellite Service in Korea" with S. K. Kim, M. H. Park, M. S. Bae, Y. S. Park, and Y. J. Joo, Telecommunication Systems, vol.14, pp. 311-319, 2000.
• "A Choice-Based Diffusion Model for Multiple Generations of Products" with Y. S. Park, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 61, pp. 45-58, 1999.
• "State Space Model Trend-Cycle Decomposition of the ARIMA(1,1,1) Process" with Y. J. Joo, Journal of Forecasting, vol. 16, pp. 411-424, 1997.
• "Growth Cycle Decomposition Diffusion Model" with Y. J. Joo, Marketing Letters, vol. 7, pp. 207-214, 1996.
• "Predicting Turning Points in Business Cycles by Detection of Slope Changes in the Leading Composite Index" with Y. J. Joo, Journal of Forecasting, vol. 12, pp. 197-213, 1993.
• "Comment on Variance Intervention", Journal of Forecasting, vol. 8, pp. 417-418, 1989.
• "On Detecting and Estimating a Major Level or Slope Change in General Exponential Smoothing", Journal of Forecasting, vol. 8, pp. 55-64, 1989.
• "Bayesian Forecasts Following a Major Level Change in Exponential Smoothing" with R. M. Oliver, Journal of Forecasting, vol. 4, pp. 293-302, 1985.

Research Areas

• Business & Economic Forecasts and Strategies